Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.005413 0.005976 0.006557 0.007202 0.007897 0.008621 0.009431
2025-02-23 0.004459 0.005255 0.006119 0.007123 0.008253 0.009481 0.010914
2025-03-02 0.003923 0.004847 0.005886 0.007134 0.008582 0.010202 0.012142
2025-03-09 0.003650 0.004689 0.005892 0.007374 0.009136 0.011152 0.013616
2025-03-16 0.003353 0.004465 0.005786 0.007453 0.009479 0.011841 0.014781
2025-03-23 0.003138 0.004316 0.005749 0.007594 0.009881 0.012592 0.016018
2025-03-30 0.002965 0.004201 0.005739 0.007756 0.010299 0.013359 0.017279
2025-04-06 0.002681 0.003921 0.005499 0.007612 0.010321 0.013633 0.017934
2025-04-13 0.002492 0.003752 0.005388 0.007618 0.010523 0.014121 0.018851
2025-04-20 0.002274 0.003528 0.005191 0.007498 0.010551 0.014383 0.019482
2025-04-27 0.002107 0.003362 0.005059 0.007453 0.010666 0.014751 0.020246
2025-05-04 0.001957 0.003209 0.004936 0.007411 0.010780 0.015113 0.021000
2025-05-11 0.001877 0.003158 0.004955 0.007569 0.011172 0.015854 0.022275
2025-05-18 0.001727 0.002993 0.004806 0.007488 0.011237 0.016168 0.023000
2025-05-25 0.001618 0.002883 0.004728 0.007499 0.011424 0.016641 0.023937
2025-06-01 0.001586 0.002888 0.004817 0.007749 0.011942 0.017563 0.025481
2025-06-08 0.001511 0.002820 0.004792 0.007831 0.012227 0.018173 0.026614
2025-06-15 0.001458 0.002784 0.004813 0.007978 0.012603 0.018910 0.027927
2025-06-22 0.001414 0.002760 0.004850 0.008147 0.013010 0.019695 0.029315
2025-06-29 0.001297 0.002606 0.004678 0.007996 0.012953 0.019835 0.029822
2025-07-06 0.001224 0.002523 0.004612 0.008003 0.013121 0.020287 0.030761
2025-07-13 0.001129 0.002392 0.004465 0.007878 0.013090 0.020456 0.031307
2025-07-20 0.001056 0.002298 0.004371 0.007831 0.013170 0.020780 0.032071